HEAVY SNOW SQUALL THIS AFTERNOON

Forecast Discussion

Please be aware of BLACK ICE.  As temps plummet, any remaining moisture will freeze quickly making driving and walking challenging.

 

 

A weak high pressure will then keep the Tri-State area dry through at least Wednesday morning, but breezy conditions will develop with the approach of a cold front.

The front will bring a chance of a snow shower in the afternoon and into the evening as it passes through. Behind it, gusty NW winds last through the night.

Temperatures Wednesday and Wednesday night will be below normal, and wind chill values late Wednesday night will drop to within a few degrees of zero in most locations.  Thursday will be the coldest day of this season.

Daily Planner

Wednesday
A slight chance of snow showers after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. West wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.   Wind Chill Values in the teens
 
 
Wednesday Night
Bitterly Cold with Partly cloudy skies.  A low around 15. Northwest wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.  Wind Chill values near or below zero.

Extended Outlook

Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 27. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 15.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 35.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 39.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Storm Update 8:45am

Forecast Discussion

No major changes to the forecast.  My major concern is for Zones B and C.  I anticipate the following in these areas:

 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY

* WHAT…Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. The highest snow accumulation will occur across the Lower Hudson Valley and interior southwest Connecticut.

* WHEN…From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

 

Here is a Snow/Ice/Rain map the Weather Concierge Team has issued.

Impact Analysis

Zone A

Front end snow/sleet early mid afternoon, quickly over to frz rain and then plain rain.  Coating to maybe an inch of snow/sleet.  Then just rain.

Impacts

  • Schools- None expected on Tuesday
  • Roadways- Slippery during the onset then wet
  • Air Travel- Expect delays

Counties

  • NYC
  • Long Island
  • Staten Island
  • Queens
  • Brooklyn
  • Westchester
  • Monmouth
  • Husdon
  • Essex
  • Mercer
  • Middlesex
  • Union
  • Ocean County and ALL locations S&W
  • The immediate CT shoreline

 

Zone B

Front end snow/sleet early mid afternoon, remaining snow and sleet, possibly mixing with rain.  2 to 5 inches

Impacts

  • Schools- Moderate.  Possible to Likely delays Tue Morning
  • Roadways- Icy
  • Air Travel- Expect delays
  • Power Outages- Possible

Counties

  • Rockland North
  • Orange
  • Dutchess
  • Sullivan
  • Warren
  • Sussex
  • Passaic
  • Bergen
  • Morris
  • Somerset
  • Hunterdon

Daily Planner

Tuesday
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.
 
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.

Extended Outlook

Wednesday
A slight chance of snow showers after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. West wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 15. Northwest wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 27. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 15.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 35.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 39.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Storm Update- 7:45pm

Forecast Discussion

No major changes to the forecast.  My major concern is for Zones B and C.  I anticipate the following in these areas:

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY

* WHAT…Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. The highest snow accumulation will occur across the Lower Hudson Valley and interior southwest Connecticut.

 

* WHEN…From 9 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Tuesday.

 

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

 

Here is a Snow/Ice/Rain map the Weather Concierge Team has issued.

Snow Map

Zone A

Front end snow/sleet early mid afternoon, quickly over to frz rain and then plain rain.  Coating to maybe an inch of snow/sleet.  Then just rain.

Impacts

  • Schools- None expected on Tuesday
  • Roadways- Slippery during the onset then wet
  • Air Travel- Expect delays

Counties

  • NYC
  • Long Island
  • Staten Island
  • Queens
  • Brooklyn
  • Westchester
  • Monmouth
  • Husdon
  • Essex
  • Mercer
  • Middlesex
  • Union
  • Ocean County and ALL locations S&W
  • The immediate CT shoreline

Zone B

Front end snow/sleet early mid afternoon, remaining snow and sleet, possibly mixing with rain.  2 to 5 inches

Impacts

  • Schools- Moderate.  Possible to Likely delays Tue Morning
  • Roadways- Icy
  • Air Travel- Expect delays
  • Power Outages- Possible

Counties

  • Rockland North
  • Orange
  • Dutchess
  • Sullivan
  • Warren
  • Sussex
  • Passaic
  • Bergen
  • Morris
  • Somerset
  • Hunterdon

Daily Planner

Tuesday
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.
 
Tuesday Night
A chance of rain, mixing with snow after 10pm, then gradually ending. Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Extended Outlook

Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 36.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 24.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 35.
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