Tropical System Nestor is expected to cross off shore of the Carolina’s, leaving our region on the northwestern fringe of the precipitation shield.
As for the amount of rain, have gone with a middle of the road solution for QPF, with amounts of 1 -1.5 inches for Delmarva and SE NJ, less than an inch elsewhere. Model solutions range from less than one half inch across the entire region to widespread 1 to 3 inches on the coastal plains.
Given that the system has already lost its tropical characteristics, and the relatively brief window of opportunity for rain with this system, it doesn`t appear a favorable set up for widespread heavy rain.
Rain should quickly end tomorrow evening as the center of the system continues to progress further off shore. Overnight winds will shift to northerly and clouds will gradually clear.
A heavy wet snow is falling at Mt. Hood @skibowl this morning! The ground is coated with fresh powdah at 5,000 ft., with a lot more on the way. #ORwx pic.twitter.com/BoCKaJsaz4
— Jeff Forgeron (@WeatherJefe) October 18, 2019
Jason has been forecasting weather for over 30 years. Over the past several years, he realized the power and promise that social media holds for atmospheric scientists and broadcast meteorologists – power to follow and connect over their passion, and share knowledge to keep people informed, safe and entertained. The rapid growth of his own Facebook forecast page led Jason to co-create My Weather Concierge®, a first-its-kind app that puts the power elite forecasters to anyone’s hands –offering personalized forecasts for any and all occasions. Jason has shared his weather wisdom on The Weather Channel’s “Weather Gone Viral” and SIRIUS SM radio. He remains active as a winter weather expert and a Long Range Forecasting Analyst as he developed the mobile app- My Weather Concierge®. View more posts