Sunday’s Revised Forecast

1pm SUNDAY through 6am Monday

Sunday’s forecast has trended more unsettled

Tropical System Nestor is expected to cross off shore of the Carolina’s, leaving our region on the northwestern fringe of the precipitation shield.

 

As for the amount of rain, have gone with a middle of the road solution for QPF, with amounts of 1 -1.5 inches for Delmarva and SE NJ, less than an inch elsewhere. Model solutions range from less than one half inch across the entire region to widespread 1 to 3 inches on the coastal plains.

 

Given that the system has already lost its tropical characteristics, and the relatively brief window of opportunity for rain with this system, it doesn`t appear a favorable set up for widespread heavy rain.

 

Rain should quickly end tomorrow evening as the center of the system continues to progress further off shore. Overnight winds will shift to northerly and clouds will gradually clear.

 

Sunday
Rain likely, mainly after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Light southeast wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
 
Sunday Night
Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 14 mph.
 
Please feel free to drop me any questions or comments if you need additional information.
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Jason has been forecasting weather for over 30 years. Over the past several years, he realized the power and promise that social media holds for atmospheric scientists and broadcast meteorologists – power to follow and connect over their passion, and share knowledge to keep people informed, safe and entertained. The rapid growth of his own Facebook forecast page led Jason to co-create My Weather Concierge®, a first-its-kind app that puts the power elite forecasters to anyone’s hands –offering personalized forecasts for any and all occasions. Jason has shared his weather wisdom on The Weather Channel’s “Weather Gone Viral” and SIRIUS SM radio. He remains active as a winter weather expert and a Long Range Forecasting Analyst as he developed the mobile app- My Weather Concierge®.

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